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	<title>Harvard Political Review &#187; Alex Copulsky</title>
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	<description>Harvard Talks Politics</description>
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	<itunes:summary>Harvard Talks Politics</itunes:summary>
	<itunes:author>Harvard Political Review</itunes:author>
	<itunes:explicit>no</itunes:explicit>
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	<itunes:subtitle>Harvard Talks Politics</itunes:subtitle>
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		<title>Harvard Political Review &#187; Alex Copulsky</title>
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		<rawvoice:location>Harvard University</rawvoice:location>
		<rawvoice:frequency>Weekly</rawvoice:frequency>
		<item>
		<title>A New Day for Labor</title>
		<link>http://hpronline.org/interviews/a-new-day-for-labor/</link>
		<comments>http://hpronline.org/interviews/a-new-day-for-labor/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 May 2010 21:49:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Copulsky</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Interviews]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hpronline.org/?p=3519</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Richard Trumka ]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>President of the AFL-CIO Richard Trumka </em></p>
<p><strong>HPR:</strong> Have recent divisions in the labor community hampered labor’s ability to wield influence in Washington?</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://hpronline.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/Richard_Trumka_at_AFL-CIO_2009.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-3584" title="Richard_Trumka_at_AFL-CIO_2009" src="http://hpronline.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/Richard_Trumka_at_AFL-CIO_2009-200x300.jpg" alt="" width="200" height="300" /></a>Richard Trumka: </strong>There’s two kinds of unity: there’s unity of name and unity of purpose.  Unity of purpose is the most important thing. When it came to electing Barack Obama, we had unity of purpose. When it came to health care reform, we had unity of purpose. When it came to the Employee Free Choice Act, we had unity of purpose. When it came to re-regulating the financial economy, we had unity of purpose. On all the big issues, we’re still in the same direction. It would be better if we were together, by the way, but politically I don’t think it has hurt us.</p>
<p><strong>HPR: </strong>With regard to the Employee Free Choice Act, how satisfied are you with the bill and the process of getting it through Congress?</p>
<p><strong>RT:</strong> Well first of all, it’s been too slow. Wages have stagnated for 30 years, and in a consumer-driven economy, the less people have wages, the more the economy stagnates. The best way to get wages spread fairly is through collective bargaining, so the longer we go without that, the harder it is for the economy to recover. I think we’ll end up with a  bill that is very good and that will give us the tools we need to be able to organize people in a fair and responsible way and give us higher penalties so that employers can’t just scoff at the law, take a slap on the wrist, and go on their merry way.</p>
<p><strong>HPR: </strong>Could you talk a bit about what “card check” is? It&#8217;s a term that gets used a lot, and rarely defined.</p>
<p><strong>RT: </strong> Right now the employer gets to decide how the employees get a union. You can have 100% of employees say they want a union, but the employer can say, “I  don’t care, I want a secret-ballot election.” And they use that secret-ballot election to delay and to intimidate and harass and even fire union supporters in an effort to erode union support. Now what card check would do is reverse the situation back to the way the law was originally intended. It would put the decision in the hands of the employees, so that if 51% of employees say they want a union card, the employer is required to give it to them.</p>
<p><strong>HPR:</strong> Given that card check has been such a controversial part of the current legislation, do you think that it’s likely to remain in the final product?</p>
<p><strong>RT: </strong>A version of it, yes.</p>
<p><strong>HPR: </strong>Under Hilda Solis, the Department of Labor has been making a more proactive effort at enforcement of labor laws than under the previous administration. Has the AFL-CIO noticed a change in the regulatory environment?</p>
<p><strong>RT:</strong> Oh, considerably. First of all, the approach to everything is completely different. She understands that workers have rights and she wants to make sure that all workers’ rights are enforced. Her budget includes more inspectors, more people who are able to protect those rights. She’s enforcing the Fair Labor Standards Act, which ensures that people get fair wages whether or not they have a union. It’s a night and day difference between Hilda Solis and the previous administration.</p>
<p><strong>HPR: </strong>Over the past 40 years, labor has experienced a drop in private-sector union participation. Has the labor movement changed as unions become increasingly populated with public-sector employees?</p>
<p><strong>RT:</strong> Right now we have about a 50-50 split between public and private employees in the AFL-CIO. We’ve always worked together, and by us being together under the same umbrella, we’re able to educate each other. Public workers need a union as much as anybody, and they help out a significant amount.</p>
<p><strong>HPR: </strong>After the passage of the Employee Free Choice Act, what are your priorities going forward?</p>
<p><strong>RT: </strong>Jobs, jobs, and more jobs. It doesn’t do you any good if the place you’ve organized gets shut down. So we’ll be working on that. We’ll be working on re-regulating the financial economy to get them back in check. We’ll be working on pension reform to make sure that pensions are protected from some of the excesses that caused people to go bankrupt and lose money. Immigration is an important issue for us, too. And we still have a long way to go on health care reform.</p>
<p><strong>HPR:</strong> Some have suggested that the recent <em>Citizens United </em>decision will allow labor to play a larger role in elections. Others have said it gives power mainly to larger corporations. How do you feel about the decision?</p>
<p><strong>RT:</strong> It’s a really bad decision. We didn’t want the results that came out of that. We had challenged a specific provision that referred to the sixty days right before an election. But our participation is mostly at the grassroots level anyway. That decision made corporate America stronger. They can flood the airwaves using shareholders’ money without the shareholders having any say about it. So I think it’s a bad decision and bad for our democracy.</p>
<p><em>Alex Copulsky ’10 is the Assistant Managing Editor Emeritus. This interview has been edited and condensed. </em></p>
<p><em>Photo Credit: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/labor2008/3927644376/">Bill Burke/Page One</a><br />
</em></p>
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		<title>My Visit to the Tea Party</title>
		<link>http://hpronline.org/online-only/hprgument-blog/my-visit-to-the-tea-party/</link>
		<comments>http://hpronline.org/online-only/hprgument-blog/my-visit-to-the-tea-party/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Apr 2010 17:12:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Copulsky</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[HPRgument Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American flag]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Sarah Palin]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[tax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tea Partiers]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[women]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hpronline.org/?p=3058</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today, I did something which went against the deepest instincts of my time at the Harvard Political Review: reporting.  I heard two days ago that Sarah Palin was going to be in town for the Boston Tea Party rally, and I knew this was something that I simply had to see.  So this morning I woke up bright and early,<a href="http://hpronline.org/online-only/hprgument-blog/my-visit-to-the-tea-party/"> ... Read More</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today, I did something which went against the deepest instincts of my time at the Harvard Political Review: reporting.  I heard two days ago that Sarah Palin was going to be in town for the Boston Tea Party rally, and I knew this was something that I simply had to see.  So this morning I woke up bright and early, tried to comb my hair like a conservative would, and set off via godless socialistic public transportation to see some freedom.</p>
<p>It was awesome.  It was everything I thought about the Tea Party and more.  There were Birthers.  There were signs calling for state nullification.  I think signs calling for &#8220;Civil War 2012&#8243; were trolling, but who knows. I&#8217;m pretty sure the &#8220;MIT Nukular Engineers for Palin!!!1!&#8221; were trolling.  The guy dressed as Hitler rocking an Obama armband? Not trolling, he was very real and had a beautiful mustache. Which was not real.  It was very evident who the Tea Partiers were, namely old white people wearing American flag apparel.  This being Boston, however, roughly a quarter of the attendees were liberals like myself who had just come to check out the scene; or to troll. My favorite was the dirty hippie carrying a massive sign saying &#8220;Fake America Welcomes You, Sarah&#8221;. He was chill.</p>
<p><span id="more-3058"></span>The speech itself was nothing more or less than I expected.  She didn&#8217;t do the usual pandering to the crowd by giving local flavor; I somehow doubt anyone would really believe Sarah Palin saying how much she loved Boston.  But of course she invoked the actual Boston Tea Party and taxation without representation.  The applause lines were more or less standard boilerplate (I didn&#8217;t have a notebook, so these might be slightly off): &#8220;We know how liberals love to say &#8220;Yes, we can.&#8221; But just because you can doesn&#8217;t mean you should.  This November, the American people will tell you &#8220;No, you don&#8217;t&#8221;.  She dissed the &#8220;lame-stream media&#8221;.  And of course, she got a chant going of &#8220;Drill, baby, drill&#8221;.  Having seen her say it in action, both me and my companion agreed it was highly sexual, and on purpose.  The first thing her follow-up speaker said was &#8220;Conservative women; they&#8217;re smarter than you and way hotter than you!&#8221;</p>
<p>I was actually expecting more whining about the media and about how they hate on her, she managed to keep her speech more or less on-target and tossed out a lot of red meat. There was a lot of God stuff, which actually sounded something of a dissonant note.  I didn&#8217;t see a single sign out there with religious overtones, they were pretty much universally about spending and debt and so forth.  She also obviously didn&#8217;t articulate any sort of positive platform (other than &#8220;We should use the rich energy resources God has given us&#8221;), but devoted her speech mainly to harshing on the President.  Her lines that weren&#8217;t about how awful liberals were all concerned how awesome America is, and about how God has chosen us to be a shining city on a hill, etc.  There really was a lot of God stuff; even if it&#8217;s not the Tea Party tune exactly, that&#8217;s kind of her brand (and likely also something she really believes).  Scott Brown was not mentioned, having recently turned down an invite to speak at the event.  The crowd ate it up, even the long-stale lines about government being the problem (not the solution).  And when Sarah&#8217;s speech was done, hordes of flag-wearing seniors swarmed back across the Common to Park Street station to enjoy the benefits of subsidized mass transit from the People&#8217;s Commonwealth of Massachusetts.</p>
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		<title>From the Department of Pathetic Rhetoric</title>
		<link>http://hpronline.org/online-only/hprgument-blog/from-the-department-of-pathetic-rhetoric/</link>
		<comments>http://hpronline.org/online-only/hprgument-blog/from-the-department-of-pathetic-rhetoric/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Mar 2010 00:04:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Copulsky</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[HPRgument Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[federal government]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Student Loans]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[The Fed]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hpronline.org/?p=2735</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There was really no justification for the status quo ante in the federal student loan program.  The model was this: Students applied for a loan from a private loan company, which loaned them money guaranteed by the federal government.  They pocketed the profits, and all risk was assumed by the federal government.  Students who had access to this program&#8217;s version<a href="http://hpronline.org/online-only/hprgument-blog/from-the-department-of-pathetic-rhetoric/"> ... Read More</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There was really no justification for the status quo ante in the federal student loan program.  The model was this: Students applied for a loan from a private loan company, which loaned them money guaranteed by the federal government.  They pocketed the profits, and all risk was assumed by the federal government.  Students who had access to this program&#8217;s version of the &#8220;public option&#8221; got the exact same deal without federal money being siphoned off to bankers&#8217; pockets.  This was, incidentally, much cheaper &#8211; doing the same program directly rather than through private lenders would save huge amounts of money, to the tune of roughly $60 billion over ten years. Now, one might think that the status quo is indefensible.  Of course, the Republican Party is pretty much always ready to stand behind any form of corporate welfare.  Thus <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/26/us/politics/26loans.html?hp">when the Democrats bundled student loan reform into the healthcare bill,</a> you had Republicans twisting themselves into knots as to why the Democrats should not save money while doing the exact same thing the government has done for decades.  It also gave rise to one of my favorite and least convincing pieces of political discourse as of late:</p>
<blockquote><p>“The Democratic majority decided, well look, while we’re at it, let’s have another Washington takeover,” said Senator Lamar Alexander, Republican of Tennessee and a former federal education secretary. “Let’s take over the federal student loan program.”</p></blockquote>
<p>He just tried to demagogue the federal government taking over a federal program. Let&#8217;s reflect on that for a bit, and move on.</p>
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		<title>Quick Thoughts on the Healthcare Summit</title>
		<link>http://hpronline.org/world/public-health/quick-thoughts-on-the-healthcare-summit/</link>
		<comments>http://hpronline.org/world/public-health/quick-thoughts-on-the-healthcare-summit/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 25 Feb 2010 18:36:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Copulsky</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Public Health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barney Frank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Congress]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[estate tax]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hpronline.org/blog/?p=2035</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Watching live.  I think that the main audience here is nervous Congressional Democrats. Not in the sense that this will actually move public opinion; it won&#8217;t, nobody other than real political junkies watch this stuff.  I think it&#8217;s more to give them a sense of how the midterm election debates are going to play out.  The Republican talking points are<a href="http://hpronline.org/world/public-health/quick-thoughts-on-the-healthcare-summit/"> ... Read More</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Watching live.  I think that the main audience here is nervous Congressional Democrats. Not in the sense that this will actually move public opinion; it won&#8217;t, nobody other than real political junkies watch this stuff.  I think it&#8217;s more to give them a sense of how the midterm election debates are going to play out.  The Republican talking points are being tested against the Democratic talking points and President Obama&#8217;s hope is that after this summit Democrats will feel comfortable defending the bill.</p>
<p>This summit has expressed in a microcosm the simple reality that Congressional Democrats really should hitch their wagon to Obama as much as they humanly can.  He&#8217;s much more intelligent, a much more effective communicator, and <em>much</em> more popular than them.  I&#8217;m not really sure why they insist on asserting their independence when it seems that their best hope for re-election is to associate themselves with him.</p>
<p>Also, the Republicans clearly have an incentive to kill the bill rather than negotiate.  Which is as it should be! They don&#8217;t believe that it&#8217;s proper for the government to extend health care coverage to everyone, and that&#8217;s completely their prerogative.  Their arguments won&#8217;t convince Barney Frank that we should abolish the estate tax either. It&#8217;s a real mystery why Democrats believe there&#8217;s anything to be gained from negotiating with them.</p>
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		<title>The Enthusiasm Gap</title>
		<link>http://hpronline.org/online-only/hprgument-blog/the-enthusiasm-gap/</link>
		<comments>http://hpronline.org/online-only/hprgument-blog/the-enthusiasm-gap/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Feb 2010 14:40:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Copulsky</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[HPRgument Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Campaign]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cap-and-trade]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hpronline.org/blog/?p=1878</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I think Glenn Greenwald is quite right about this.  The Democratic Party has spent the last few years more or less conspicuously failing to deliver on every single one of its campaign promises.  I count cap-and-trade, Don&#8217;t Ask Don&#8217;t Tell, the end of the Iraq War, a restoration of civil liberties, the closing of Guantanamo Bay, the end of domestic<a href="http://hpronline.org/online-only/hprgument-blog/the-enthusiasm-gap/"> ... Read More</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think Glenn Greenwald is <a href="http://salon.com/news/politics/democratic_party/index.html?story=/opinion/greenwald/2010/02/23/democrats">quite right about this</a>.  The Democratic Party has spent the last few years more or less conspicuously failing to deliver on every single one of its campaign promises.  I count cap-and-trade, Don&#8217;t Ask Don&#8217;t Tell, the end of the Iraq War, a restoration of civil liberties, the closing of Guantanamo Bay, the end of domestic spying, the end of the Bush tax cuts, financial reform, and (possibly health care).  And those are just the big ones.</p>
<p>Indeed, on quite a number of those the Democrats have rather obviously been AIDING the injustices that they campaigned against.  They legalized ex post facto most of the worst excesses of Bush&#8217;s spying, and have been sticking to Bush&#8217;s plan for withdrawal from Iraq.  Congressional Democrats have been some of the worst impediments to closing Guantanamo and enacting financial reform.  Let&#8217;s not even discuss health care.  Long story short, if Congressional Democrats go into the election of 2010 having delivered exactly nothing that they&#8217;ve promised in their election campaigns of the last <em>four years</em>, they&#8217;re obviously going to lose badly. Any politician who so badly misjudged the electorate probably deserves to be fired for rank incompetence.</p>
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		<title>Silly Things Published in the NYT</title>
		<link>http://hpronline.org/world/silly-things-published-in-the-nyt/</link>
		<comments>http://hpronline.org/world/silly-things-published-in-the-nyt/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Feb 2010 16:43:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Copulsky</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[HPRgument Blog]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Lara Dadkhah]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hpronline.org/blog/?p=1477</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m hardly an expert on modern warfare, but this New York Times op-ed is pretty clearly silly and deserving of refutation. Defense consultant Lara Dadkhah is discussing the way that NATO air forces have voluntarily drawn down their airstrikes and are thus tying one hand behind their back.  She argues that this is incredibly harmful since &#8220;America does not have<a href="http://hpronline.org/world/silly-things-published-in-the-nyt/"> ... Read More</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m hardly an expert on modern warfare, but this <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/18/opinion/18dadkhah.html?ref=opinion">New York Times op-ed</a> is pretty clearly silly and deserving of refutation. Defense consultant Lara Dadkhah is discussing the way that NATO air forces have voluntarily drawn down their airstrikes and are thus tying one hand behind their back.  She argues that this is incredibly harmful since &#8220;America does not have the manpower to fight the Taliban one-on-one&#8221;.  Well, let&#8217;s begin by pointing out that <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/10/27/troops-in-afghanistan-out_0_n_336096.html">NATO soldiers outnumber the Taliban 12 to 1</a></p>
<p>More to the point, the use of less firepower against the Taliban is a feature rather than a bug.  The point of the American offensive is not to obliterate the town of Marja or to drive a hostile occupying army out of it.  The Taliban are really very lightly armed, few in number, and militarily amateur.  The ideal outcome for them is that the US bombards Marja and turns impressionable Afghan civilians to their cause.  The US is deliberately taking more risk on its fighting forces by eschewing air power in order to not alienate the population.  That&#8217;s the reason that America deployed so many more troops to Afghanistan in the first place.  With all due respect, Ms. Dadkhah&#8217;s suggested strategy of punishing strikes into Taliban country supported by air power has been tried before.  It was called the Vietnam War.</p>
<p>This war is definitely not a self-evidently justified one at this point.  It seems strategically unnecessary and entailing much more potential downside (and actual downside) than potential upside.  But it doesn&#8217;t help anyone to go about it stupidly, especially by being determined to repeat the mistakes of an old war.</p>
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		<title>Israel and Americans</title>
		<link>http://hpronline.org/world/israel-and-americans/</link>
		<comments>http://hpronline.org/world/israel-and-americans/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Feb 2010 21:26:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Copulsky</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[HPRgument Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American Foreign Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American Jews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Avigdor Lieberman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Compromise]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conservative]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gaza]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Jeffrey Goldberg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[racist]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hpronline.org/blog/?p=1449</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m not always wild about The Atlantic&#8217;s Jeffrey Goldberg, but I think he has a very perceptive post about Israel&#8217;s relationship with the United States. He points out that the ultra-conservative governments that have been in power lately have been doing their best to alienate their potential American supporters, particularly young American Jews.  Namely, that actions like Gaza or their<a href="http://hpronline.org/world/israel-and-americans/"> ... Read More</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m not always wild about The Atlantic&#8217;s Jeffrey Goldberg, but I think he has a <a href="http://jeffreygoldberg.theatlantic.com/archives/2010/02/blake_hounsell.php">very perceptive post</a> about Israel&#8217;s relationship with the United States. He points out that the ultra-conservative governments that have been in power lately have been doing their best to alienate their potential American supporters, particularly young American Jews.  Namely, that actions like Gaza or their continual expansion of settlements will hurt its image in the demographic that Israel used to be able to count on for vocal advocacy in the American public. He says, bluntly, that &#8220;compromise is necessary is because American public opinion is one of Israel&#8217;s most important battlegrounds.&#8221;</p>
<p>I think Goldberg has hit on a very important truth here.  He suggests that young American Jews are less likely to be &#8220;reflexive&#8221; supporters of Israel than their parents, and this has been my experience.  I strongly believe in the right of Israel to exist, but I feel very uncomfortable about the actions of the Likud government.  Who can defend a government willing to appoint a racist, extremist wackjob like <a href="http://www.thenation.com/doc/20070101/lynfield">Avigdor Lieberman</a> as Foreign Minister?  Their constant pandering to the settler lobby is not only indefensible, but seems calculated to draw them further into occupation of hostile Palestinian territory.  Despite my strong feelings about Israel&#8217;s continued survival, I have zero interest in using my tax dollars to underwrite Lieberman&#8217;s colonial ambitions. The Israeli government can&#8217;t afford to lose the American public, and it seems determined to do so.</p>
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		<title>At Least We&#8217;re Not Greece Yet</title>
		<link>http://hpronline.org/world/at-least-were-not-greece-yet/</link>
		<comments>http://hpronline.org/world/at-least-were-not-greece-yet/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Feb 2010 16:26:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Copulsky</dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[World]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Union]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eurozone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Germany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greece]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IMF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Unlike California]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hpronline.org/blog/?p=1389</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[So today the European Union issued its long-awaited statement on whether or not it would bail out Greece.  The answer was a clear and unambiguous signal to global financial markets: maybe-kinda-sorta-let&#8217;s-see-where-it-goes-from-here-and-then-we&#8217;ll-talk.  For those who haven&#8217;t been keeping score at home, Greece is in quite a bit of financial trouble (much like California), due to government revenue dropping dramatically and spending<a href="http://hpronline.org/world/at-least-were-not-greece-yet/"> ... Read More</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So today the European Union issued its long-awaited statement on <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/12/business/global/12union.html?ref=europe">whether or not it would bail out Greece</a>.  The answer was a clear and unambiguous signal to global financial markets: maybe-kinda-sorta-let&#8217;s-see-where-it-goes-from-here-and-then-we&#8217;ll-talk.  For those who haven&#8217;t been keeping score at home, Greece is in quite a bit of financial trouble (much like California), due to government revenue dropping dramatically and spending rising dramatically because of the recession (much like California).  Since Greece is on the euro, it can&#8217;t let inflation ease the burden on its debt (much like California), and so it is faced with the option of painful tax hikes, sweeping service cuts, or risking default (much like California).  Unlike California, it is a manageably small part of the European economy&#8230;but its troubles are closely matched by Portugal, Spain, and Ireland, which are much larger economies (like California!) and really what this Greek trouble is all about.</p>
<p>If Greece&#8217;s credit rating takes a hit, its debt becomes more expensive and it starts spiraling towards default and <a href="http://baselinescenario.com/2010/02/09/revised-baseline-scenario-february-9-2010/">probable crisis</a>. Since Greece doesn&#8217;t control its own currency, it can&#8217;t get bailed out by the IMF, <a href="http://baselinescenario.com/2010/02/07/europe-risks-another-global-depression/">it needs the EU</a> and thus Germany is needed.  Germany doesn&#8217;t want to bail out Greece due to their domestic distaste for bailouts (other than for the German banking or auto industries).  So a Greek downgrade could lead to a rapid spiral as other European sovereign debts are attacked, potentially ripping apart the Eurozone and probably leading to some sort of financial crisis.  But a Greek bailout could necessitate bailing out the much, much larger combined economies of Portugal, Spain, and Ireland. It&#8217;s not an easy choice, but some sort of unified and decisive action is probably necessary.</p>
<p>So the European governments have decided to take a firm line on &#8220;meh&#8221;. Good work, team!</p>
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		<title>The Dim Prospects for Meaningful Financial Reform</title>
		<link>http://hpronline.org/online-only/hprgument-blog/the-dim-prospects-for-meaningful-financial-reform/</link>
		<comments>http://hpronline.org/online-only/hprgument-blog/the-dim-prospects-for-meaningful-financial-reform/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Feb 2010 16:48:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Copulsky</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[HPRgument Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bush Administration]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hpronline.org/blog/?p=1160</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Well, the Senate just spent a year trying and failing to pass a moderate, compromised-to-hell health reform plan.  Which, incidentally, if that is comprehensive reform I&#8217;m not really sure I&#8217;d like to see their &#8220;tinkering around the edges&#8221;.  However, the important thing is that they managed to defuse special interest anger by buying them off with legislative goodies.  Wait, that&#8217;s<a href="http://hpronline.org/online-only/hprgument-blog/the-dim-prospects-for-meaningful-financial-reform/"> ... Read More</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://hpronline.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/452419418_2df259cb84.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-1163" title="452419418_2df259cb84" src="http://hpronline.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/452419418_2df259cb84.jpg" alt="" width="360" height="239" /></a>Well, the Senate just spent a year trying and failing to pass a moderate, compromised-to-hell health reform plan.  Which, incidentally, if that is comprehensive reform I&#8217;m not really sure I&#8217;d like to see their &#8220;tinkering around the edges&#8221;.  However, the important thing is that they managed to defuse special interest anger by buying them off with legislative goodies.  Wait, that&#8217;s not right.  Regardless, at least they passed <em>something</em>.  Er. I don&#8217;t remember how that worked out.  Whatever.  That was resolved one way or another, it&#8217;s time for another glorious legislative battle!</p>
<p>The Democratic reform proposal was mild, to say the least.  Regulations aren&#8217;t going to be strengthened that much, and the Senate is now out to remove the only comprehensible and popular part of the bill, the Consumer Financial Protection Agency.  No one understands derivatives trading regulation, not the public and certainly not the Senate.  However, an agency which will make sure banks don&#8217;t screw you over?  That&#8217;s easy to understand and polls well.  So naturally centrist Democrats are out to kill it.  <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/02/business/02regulate.html?ref=politics">Chris Dodd, head of the Banking Committee and thus for these purposes far more powerful than President Obama, also wants to make sure the bill is &#8220;bipartisan&#8221;</a>. That worked out well for health care.  Oh, and the new Senator from Massachusetts is <a href="http://www.boston.com/business/articles/2010/02/01/late_in_senate_race_financial_sector_donations_swelled_browns_coffers/">bought-and-paid-for</a> by the financial industry.  While I&#8217;m guessing that the Congress is more likely to pass something called &#8220;Financial Regulatory Reform&#8221; than &#8220;Health Care Reform&#8221;, there really doesn&#8217;t seem any way that anything with teeth passes. After all, there&#8217;s really nothing in the House bill which would prevent more bailouts, and it&#8217;s likely to be totally rewritten to banks&#8217; specifications in the Senate.</p>
<p>Long story short, this is just another part of the Democratic Congress&#8217;s very visible and baffling determination to commit political suicide.  They&#8217;ve had a year with nominal total control and haven&#8217;t managed to do anything popular.  The stimulus was watered down so far that unemployment hit 10% AND as a bonus completely discredited the idea of fiscal stimulus.  Health care is probably dead, happy-talk notwithstanding, and will be remembered as a fiasco.  Beyond these obvious policy failures, the Congress has spent the entire year giving the finger to the Democratic base.<span id="more-1160"></span></p>
<p>While centrist Democrats like to talk all the time about how the Democratic Party is overreaching, speaking as a bona fide member of the far-left base I can tell you that this Congress has done nothing large to appease us.  There are a number of things Obama or Congress could have done to throw the base a bone. A single one of these would fit the bill: Close Guantanamo, stop domestic spying, restore some measure of civil liberties, make meaningful contributions to peace in the Middle East, withdraw from Iraq, reform health care, reform immigration, repeal Don&#8217;t Ask Don&#8217;t Tell, reform the financial industry, cap carbon emissions, all things he promised on the campaign trail. There are more.  Both Obama and Congress have conspicuously failed to do a single thing that would motivate the base to vote in November or indeed to significantly distinguish them from the last two years of the Bush Administration.  Sure, Republicans have no platform or plan other than slashing the deficit while cutting taxes and not cutting any spending; the prospect of them holding power is terrifying.  But at this point, what exactly have the Democrats done that justifies them continuing to hold power? If the last year is to be believed, Congressional Democrats&#8217; ideal situation is to continue to indefinitely hold the majority and indefinitely do nothing with it.</p>
<p>&#8220;At least we&#8217;re not Bush&#8221; is starting to wear <em>extremely</em> thin.</p>
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		<title>The Fierce Urgency of Whatever</title>
		<link>http://hpronline.org/endpapers/endpaper-the-fierce-urgency-of-whatever/</link>
		<comments>http://hpronline.org/endpapers/endpaper-the-fierce-urgency-of-whatever/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Dec 2009 06:21:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Copulsky</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Endpapers]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Winter 2009]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false"></guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In a culture that often values boldness above all else, American politics is surprisingly allergic to big ideas.  Despite the clamor over President Obama's health-care reform plan, it is important to remember that it proposes fairly incremental changes.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://hpronline.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/44-Endpaper.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-2512" title="In front of the firing squad" src="http://hpronline.org/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/44-Endpaper-300x199.jpg" alt="Senator Inaction " width="300" height="199" /></a>In a culture that often values boldness above all else, American politics is surprisingly allergic to big ideas.  Despite the clamor over President Obama&#8217;s health-care reform plan, it is important to remember that it proposes fairly incremental changes.  Today insurance in America is employer-based, and provided by private, for-profit insurers.  This will not change.  The sound and fury over the public option, on both the left and the right, has obscured the reality that it is, for now, nothing more than a small policy experiment.  The health care debate represents the truly cramped range of American political discourse today.</p>
<p>This has not always been the case.  In 1945 President Harry Truman proposed a system of universal health insurance similar to the Canadian model, a radical change from the status quo ante.  Of course, some things stay the same; Truman&#8217;s initial proposal claimed bluntly, and unconvincingly, that, &#8220;This is not socialized medicine.&#8221;  Truman&#8217;s healthcare innovation was part of a proud bipartisan tradition of bold leadership and radical change.  President Roosevelt was unabashed about trying to completely reshape the relationship between the government and private industry, and Nixon in trying to reshape the Cold War by forging a relationship with China.  In contrast to the bold policy initiatives even in the postwar era, it is not hard to see American politics since 1992 as static and small-bore.</p>
<p>Despite a marked difference in rhetoric, the similarities between the policies of Democrats and Republicans can be striking.   Both parties are committed to maintaining the American presence in Iraq and Afghanistan, preventing a nuclear Iran, ensuring a &#8220;pro-business&#8221; regulatory environment, protecting the employer-based health insurance system, continuing the War on Drugs, cutting taxes, subsidizing agriculture and feeding the military-industrial complex.  In the most recent Presidential campaign, only two candidates seriously addressed any of these key issues, Dennis Kucinich and Ron Paul, and were laughed at for their trouble. For making the commonsensical statement that perhaps Muslims resent a half-century of American meddling in the Middle East, Ron Paul was resoundingly booed.  For suggesting that the U.S. scale back its massive network of military bases around the world, Kucinich was ridiculed.</p>
<p>This political complacency suited a world where America was the unchallenged hegemon.  During the Cold War, politicians could not avoid trying to tackle tough issues, not with the Soviet Union waiting to pounce on American weakness.  The fall of the USSR left the United States free to languish in the status quo, and our apparent triumph left the American model politically unassailable.  Perhaps this is the best light in which to understand the conservative response to Obama&#8217;s agenda as &#8220;socialism&#8221;; that any challenge to the status quo is a rejection of everything that differentiated America from its Cold War foe.  Unfortunately, America did not win the Cold War because of its complete perfection.</p>
<p>America needs policy innovation today more than ever. The long-term deficit is a very real concern.  There is no way it can be addressed when entitlement and defense expenditures are politically untouchable; non-defense discretionary spending is a mere 17% of the federal budget.  The War on Drugs is stuck in the trenches.  The War on Terror is even worse, and certainly more costly.  Populists left and right rage against the seeming capture of the government by Goldman Sachs and other big banks.  America&#8217;s wars overseas seem to be going nowhere fast, soaking up endless amounts of money and continuing to kill American soldiers.  And Iran is inching ever closer to a nuclear weapon.  It should be clear that the conventional wisdom is bankrupt and, as they like to say in Alcoholics Anonymous, &#8220;Our best thinking got us here.&#8221;</p>
<p>Of course politicians don&#8217;t want to address hard questions, for hard questions demand difficult answers. Ultimately, though, if the status quo is unsustainable, it will not be sustained.   The time of complacency has passed, and even the somewhat incoherent Tea Party movement shows that voters have begun to demand serious change of some kind.  Counterintuitively, the slow deterioration in the American way of life may create the conditions for its renewal.</p>
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