HPRgument Blog — March 26, 2010 6:19 pm

Steven Levitt’s Solution to Climate Change

By Jimmy Wu

Professor Steven D. Levitt, an eminent popular economist from the University of Chicago and co-author of the widely successful books Freakonomics and SuperFreakonomics gave a lecture here on Monday. Despite being sparsely publicized, the lecture attracted around 200 people from around the campus, an obvious testament to the popularity of Levitt’s unorthodox economics style. While I was impressed with Professor Levitt as a researcher, having read both his books and some of his papers, I was perhaps more intrigued with a more serious public policy proposal that Levitt discussed: his solution to climate change. The predictable topics like prostitutes and crack gangs generated a good about of enthusiasm and applause, yet it is this one rogue economists’ view of climate change that is so revealing about the society in which we live today.

The current state of global climate change policy ideas is, well, depressing. Politicians from around the developing world, egged on by some zealous climate scientists, have been pigeonholed into believing that only an international, all-encompassing, sweeping global legislative action is necessary to save the planet from extinction. In the US, this means pushing a cap-and-trade system that would cost perhaps around $1 trillion and impose crippling new taxes throughout the system. Internationally, this means attempting to sit down leaders from across the globe, who generally cannot agree on fair sports practices, let alone multi-billion dollar aid transfers, and creating an agreement to halt economic activity throughout the developing world. Failures in Copenhagen, and failures domestically, signal global impasse. We’re left with a seemingly runaway climate train, chugging out deadly carbon pollutants with no solution in sight.

With all this in mind, is Steven Levitt really crazy as climate bloggers and environmentalists have surmised? In a fairly straightforward, rational economic way, Professor Levitt explained that while he admits he knows nothing about climate science, he has identified two problems plaguing all climate change legislation. First, the half-life of carbon is so long that limiting carbon emissions may have very little impact at all considering we have been stressing the atmosphere for over 200 years now. Second, the cost is just unparalleled and would have far ranging consequences on our economy. In response, Levitt proposes simple proposals like creating a large garden hose and injecting sulfur dioxide six miles up into the stratosphere, a phenomenon often seen after major volcanoes. The price tag of this plan: $200 million. Predictably, a wide range of critics of emerged in response to Levitt.

Yet, this type of geoengineering, whose scientific research was done by ingenious researchers and not crackpot economists, could in fact be the wave of the future. While politicians debate amongst themselves the value of complex caps and taxes, it may well be human innovation and ingenuity that can serve as the real solution to climate change. Too much of our politics has been singularly focused on solutions that limit carbon emissions by force, rather than investing energy and resources in problem-solving devices. While the magical garden hose is far from a perfect solution to climate chnage, there is no reason why such proposals must be immediately written off as insane. For one, it took insane ideas like cars, light-bulbs, and computers to launch us into the modern era, why is the future of our planet any different?

Photo Citation: Flickr Creative Commons

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  • Cathy Sun

    I’ve often had the same sentiment. Of course I don’t know much about climate science either. But I wonder why we don’t approach the scientific problems of climate change with a more “can-do attitude” rather than a conscience-ridden, “we have soiled the planet” one.

    There are lots of geoengineering ideas out there like the one that Levitt proposes, but I wonder if they are so unpopular because people are so attached to the idea that

    1) Each and every person can “do something” to help
    2) We have to pay for our climate sins.

    But they weren’t sins. The industrial revolution and other “polluting activities” have improved the quality of life for so many people. I don’t see why we have to be so ashamed.

    I think people are really committed to the “global solution” because they like the idea of everyone in society and in the world working together to solve one problem. It’s diplomacy and hugs all around. The problem is uncontroversial enough that diplomats can make a living without starting any world wars. But if we really need a solution, the most clearheaded one might be as Levitt suggests, a scientific one rather than an individual or economic one.

  • Will Rafey

    I have no problem with innovation. Science-based solutions and innovative new technologies are absolutely essential to curbing global warming.

    I do have take issue, however, when the buzzwords of “innovation” and “human ingenuity” becomes a thin veil for inaction.

    The politics of environmentalism are not so clear-cut as Levitt imagines. Regulation, properly designed, is one of the most powerful forcing mechanisms for innovation. There are also vast resources (there should be more) being directed into technology development, including geoengineering.

    Virtually no educated person concerned about climate change will argue that funding for new technology is mutually exclusive with emissions limits. Levitt’s solution is not new and adds nothing to the current consensus, that we need every tool in the box.

    I’d also like to suggest to anyone that reads this to read the article Jimmy offers a link to. It is spot-on. Levitt has sold out his academic integrity in exchange for a catchy (but entirely inaccurate) popular soundbite that will sell his books.

    Kathy, your characterization of climate change advocates is an interesting straw man but elucidates nothing about the politics of geoengineering.

    Innovation IS a crucial item on almost every environmental group’s agenda. Whether or not our attitude is “conscience-ridden” or we are “paying for our climate sins” is entirely irrelevant. Climate change is indisputably real, anthropogenic, and its effects will be catastrophic. The point is not that we need to protect nature against any human intrusion — the point is that there is a potentially existential threat to humanity that we must re-orient ourselves to stop. I do not feel “so ashamed.” But I have a feeling we’ll feel a lot more than shame if we don’t work to contain and adapt to this visible and evident threat.

  • Will Rafey

    Edit: after doing a bit more research, I think that to say “Levitt has sold out his academic integrity” was a bit too strongly-worded: his argument is more well-reasoned than I realized.

    However, I hope (as does he, http://freakonomics.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/10/18/global-warming-in-superfreakonomics-the-anatomy-of-a-smear/) that it is not twisted into a justification for not doing anything about global warming.

  • Donald

    I’m not sure what the argument concerning the half-life of carbon is about, but I can assure you there is no free floating carbon in our atmosphere and CO2 is not radioactive. I think a more accurate concern is the stability of the carbon-oxygen bond, but compounds in the air are brought back down to earth with every rainfall, so there is no reason to think it will remain up in the sky indefinitely. I’m also skeptical of the whole garden hose notion.

    That being said, scientific innovation is certainly a place to look for the future security of our planet. Two good methods to ensure innovation are encouragement of alternative technologies and making it more difficult to perform current methods. If the structure of the energy game is changed a new (and likely better) outcome is almost certain.

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